How the 11th pick has been used by NFL teams in the past

                                                                                                                                                                                                   
  • The Chicago Bears have the No. 11 overall pick in Thursday's NFL draft. Five years ago, the Houston Texans landed J.J. Watt with the No. 11 pick in 2011. Watt has 69 sacks over the past four seasons.

    The Chicago Bears have the No. 11 overall pick in Thursday's NFL draft. Five years ago, the Houston Texans landed J.J. Watt with the No. 11 pick in 2011. Watt has 69 sacks over the past four seasons. Associated Press

 
 
Updated 4/26/2016 12:50 PM

Nothing guarantees that the Bears will get a difference-making player with the 11th pick in the first round of Thursday's draft.

But based on the previous 20 years of draft history, there will be a superstar-in-waiting on the board when the Bears' pick rolls around. It's just a question of whether or not the Bears will correctly identify a player who turns out to be a future Pro Bowler.

 

Even when the 11th pick in the draft has turned out to be a bust or a disappointment, there were players taken later in the first round who became impact players almost immediately in the NFL. Of course, others were busts or journeymen.

Here's a look at the last 20 players who were drafted with the 11th overall pick and the exceptional players who were taken later in the first round.

2015

Minnesota Vikings: CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State, who had just 1 start, 20 tackles in uneventful rookie season.

Later in the round:

No. 18 Kansas City Chiefs: CB Marcus Peters, a defensive ROY who tied for NFL lead with 8 picks, 2 for TDs.

No. 22 Pittsburgh Steelers: LB Bud Dupree, who flashed early with 4 sacks but faded down the stretch.

2014:

Tennessee Titans: OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan, who had 15 starts at LT last year but future might be at RT.

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Later in the round:

12. New York Giants: WR Odell Beckham, who already is a superstar with 2,755 yards, 25 TDs in two years.

13. St. Louis Rams: DT Aaron Donald, a defensive ROY who leads all DT's past 2 years with 20 sacks.

2013:

San Diego Chargers: OT D.J. Fluker, Alabama, who started 43 games at 3 positions (LT, RT, RG).

Later in the round:

20. Chicago Bears: OL Kyle Long, who has three Pro Bowls in three years at two positions (RG, RT).

27. Houston Texans: WR DeAndre Hopkins, who had 111 rec., 1,521 yards, 11 TDs in 2015 and he's just 23.

2012:

Kansas City Chiefs: DT Dontari Poe, Memphis, who is an elite run-stuffer, Day One starter, two-time Pro Bowler.

Later in the round:

12. Philadelphia Eagles: DT Fletcher Cox, a two-time all-pro with 22 sacks looking for new deal.

21. New England Patriots: DE Chandler Jones, who has 30 sacks past three years and was traded to Cardinals in March.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
 

2011:

Houston Texans: DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin, who has become the NFL's best defensive player with 69 sacks in past four years.

Later in the round:

14. St. Louis Rams: DE Robert Quinn, who had 40 sacks from 2012-14. The two-time Pro Bowler was hurt in 2015.

16. Washington: LB Ryan Kerrigan, who was a Pro Bowler in 2012. Has 47.5 sacks, never missed a start.

2010:

San Francisco 49ers: OT Anthony Davis, Rutgers, who was a fixture at RT but retired in 2015 due to injuries. Could return.

Later in the round:

14. Seattle Seahawks: S Earl Thomas, a five-time Pro Bowler with 21 interceptions.

24. Dallas Cowboys: WR Dez Bryant, who averaged 91 catches, 1,315 yards, 14 TDs from 2012-14.

2009:

Buffalo Bills: DE Aaron Maybin, Penn State, who has just 6 sacks and 36 tackles in four years.

Later in the round:

15. Houston Texans: LB Brian Cushing, a ROY, Pro Bowl in 2009, and impact player despite injuries.

26. Green Bay Packers: LB Clay Matthews, who has 6 Pro Bowls, 67.5 career sacks.

2008:

Buffalo Bills: CB Leodis McKelvin, Troy, a 60-game starter with 13 picks. He's a two-time all-pro KR.

Later in the round:

12. Denver Broncos: OT Ryan Clady, a four-time Pro Bowler and a fixture at LT since Day One.

18. Baltimore Ravens: QB Joe Flacco, whose most recent contract has $40 million in guarantees.

2007:

San Francisco 49ers: LB Patrick Willis, Mississippi, who became one of the all-time greats with seven straight Pro Bowls.

Later in the round:

12. Buffalo Bills: RB Marshawn Lynch, who became a beast with five Pro Bowls and six 1,000-yard seasons.

14. New York Jets: Darrelle Revis, who became the best cover CB of his generation and has seven Pro Bowls.

2006:

Denver Broncos: QB Jay Cutler, Vanderbilt, whose up-and-down career could still be peaking with Bears.

Later in the round:

12. Baltimore Ravens: DT Haloti Ngata, who earned five straight Pro Bowls (2009-13).

20. Kansas City Chiefs: DE-OLB Tamba Hali, who has 86 career sacks, 33 FF, and five straight Pro Bowls (2011-15).

2005:

Dallas Cowboys DE DeMarcus Ware, Troy, who has been to nine Pro Bowls and collected 134.5 career sacks.

Later in the round:

24. Green Bay Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers, who has the highest career passer rating (104.1) in NFL history.

27. Atlanta Falcons: WR Roddy White, who has 808 catches, 10,863 yards, 6 straight 1,100-yard years.

2004:

Pittsburgh Steelers: QB Ben Roethlisberger, Miami (O.), who won two Super Bowls and is a four-time Pro Bowler.

Later in the round:

14. Chicago Bears: DT Tommie Harris, who went to three Pro Bowls (2005-07) before knee injuries took a toll.

21. New England Patriots: DT Vince Wilfork, a quintessential run-stuffer who made five Pro Bowls.

2003:

Seattle Seahawks: CB Marcus Trufant, Washington State, who has 125 starts, 21 interceptions, and made the 2007 Pro Bowl.

Later in the round:

16. Pittsburgh Steelers: S Troy Polamalu, with eight Pro Bowls and 32 picks.

24. Dallas Cowboys: TE Dallas Clark, who has 505 career catches for 5,665 yards and 53 TDs.

2002:

Indianapolis Colts: DE Dwight Freeney, Syracuse, with 119.5 career sacks, including 8 last year at age 35.

Later in the round:

14. New York Giants: TE Jeremy Shockey, with four Pro Bowls, 547 receptions for 6,143 yards.

24. Baltimore Ravens: S Ed Reed, with nine Pro Bowls, 64 interceptions with 7 returned for TD.

2001:

Carolina Panthers: LB Dan Morgan, Miami, who had just one Pro Bowl before injuries ended career in 2007.

Later in the round:

17. Seattle Seahawks: OG Steve Hutchinson, who made 7 straight Pro Bowls (2003-09) and had 169 starts.

19. Pittsburgh Steelers: NT Casey Hampton, this immovable middle man played 173 games and made five Pro Bowls.

2000:

New York Giants: RB Ron Dayne, Wisconsin, whose 7-year NFL career (3.8 ypc) is a major disappointment.

Later in the round:

13. New York Jets LB: John Abraham with 133.5 sacks in 192 games with three teams.

19. Seattle Seahawks: RB Shaun Alexander, with 9,453 yards and 100 TDs in just 9 seasons.

1999:

Minnesota Vikings: QB Daunte Culpepper, Central Florida, who made three Pro Bowls in first 6 seasons but none after that.

Later in the round:

16. Tennessee Titans: DE Jevon Kearse, who had 36 sacks, three Pro Bowls in first three season. Final 8 seasons: 38 sacks, no Pro Bowls.

17. New England Patriots: C Damien Woody, who started 166 games with three teams and made 2002 Pro Bowl.

1998:

Philadelphia Eagles: OT Tra Thomas, Florida State, who missed just 11 starts in first 11 seasons and made three Pro Bowls.

Later in the round:

12. Atlanta Falcons: LB Keith Brooking, who played 225 games, made five straight Pro Bowls (2001-05).

21. Minnesota Vikings: WR Randy Moss, who had 982 catches, 15,292 yards, 156 TDs.

1997:

Atlanta Falcons: CB Michael Booker, Nebraska, who started just 11 of 73 career games but had 8 picks.

Later in the round:

12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB Warrick Dunn, who had 10,967 rush yards, 4,339 receiving in 12 years.

13. Kansas City Chiefs: TE Tony Gonzalez, who played 17 years, collecting 1,325 catches, 15,127 yards, 111 TDs.

1996:

New Orleans Saints: DB Alex Molden, Oregon, who started 57 of 98 games with 12 interceptions.

Later in the round:

14. Houston Oilers: RB Eddie George, who rushed for at least 1,294 yards in first 5 seasons.

19. Indianapolis Colts: WR Marvin Harrison, who had 1,102 catches, 14,580 yards, 128 TDs, and eight Pro Bowls.

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