Bear Down, Nerd Up: Sunday's beatdown by Packers was flat-out embarrassing
As always, the numbers speak for themselves.
Bears fans should feel sickened by what their rival Green Bay Packers have done to them the past three decades. Sunday's beatdown was the latest edition of the turmoil.
Chairman George McCaskey and the rest of the Bears' brass should be fed up. Time and again, the Packers best the Bears. The numbers tell the story.
Win No. 100: If you watched the Bears-Packers "Sunday Night Football" broadcast, then you saw what basically became an infomercial for the Packers in the second half. Notably, Aaron Rodgers is catching up on Brett Favre for the most Packers touchdown passes against the Bears. Both quarterbacks have thrown more than 50 touchdown passes against the Bears. The Bears' top four quarterbacks against the Packers combine for fewer than 50. The Bears' top-four list included Sid Luckman, who last played 70 years ago.
Of all the demoralizing numbers that stand out about this rivalry the past 30 or so years, none is more wild than this: The Bears once led the all-time series 81-57-6, yet the Packers reached 100 wins first.
Green Bay picked up win No. 100 Sunday night, improving to 100-95-6 in the series (including two playoff games). Since 1992, when the Bears expanded their lead to 24 games, Favre and Rodgers have owned the matchup. Meanwhile, the Bears have had a revolving door of starting quarterbacks. Jay Cutler gave the Bears some longevity at the position, but his 2-11 record against the Packers was nothing to cheer about.
No Hicks: Without defensive tackle Akiem Hicks, the Packers ran it down the Bears' throats with ease. The Packers as a team rushed for 150 yards on 25 carries between the tackles, according to NFL Next Gen Stats.
Per Next Gen Stats, since 2018, Bears opponents are averaging 3.6 yards per carry inside the tackles on 253 carries when Hicks is in the game. In that same time frame with a similar workload of 245 carries, Bears' opponents are averaging 4.3 yards per carry when Hicks is not in the game.
The Bears surrendered 182 total rushing yards. It was the most of the Matt Nagy era, and the most since allowing 208 rushing yards against Washington on Dec. 24, 2016.
Defensive mishap: Nagy whipped out a stat Monday morning in his session with the media. The Packers ran 38 plays on their first three possessions, each of which ended with a touchdown. By Nagy's count, the Bears allowed 22 plays of five yards or more on those 38 plays.
Upon further review, it was 20 of 38, but it appears Nagy was also counting two penalties on plays that didn't count. Either way, the first three drives were backbreaking for the Bears.
The Packers had 18 first downs on those three possessions. They had only 10 more the remainder of the game. Rodgers finished the first half 15-for-18 passing for 128 yards and three touchdowns.
"That's not who our defense is," Nagy said. "And our guys, they need to understand where we're coming from with that and how we feed off them as a defense. They've done a hell of a job all year long, but (Sunday) was not where we need to be."
Rookie on the rise?: Bears tight end Cole Kmet played more snaps Sunday than he ever has. His 54 snaps (79% of offensive plays) outpaced Jimmy Graham's 24 (35%).
Still, Kmet had one catch to show for it, which went for 8 yards. Kmet dropped one of his three targets at the goal line, which could've been his second career touchdown. Graham, meanwhile, caught three passes for 32 yards.
"That one down on the goal line is one he would certainly like to have back and finish that one with a reception and it would have been a touchdown," Bears tight ends coach Clancy Barone said.
Barone said Kmet's increased reps has been by design. The Bears always planned to move slow with Kmet and increase his role as the year went on.
"As far as becoming an all-around tight end, he is an all-around tight end," Barone said. "We've talked about this before and even looked at the film on it. As far as him being a surprisingly good blocker in the run game and in protection, his route running, his speed is deceptive. Now, it's just a matter of having the targets I guess that would help kind of verify that."
Rare company: Per Elias Sports Bureau, the Bears are only the second team in NFL history to win at least five of their first six games, then lose the next five. The 2020 Bears join the 1967 San Francisco 49ers, who started 5-1 before losing their next six games. The 49ers won their last two games to finish the year 7-7. They did not make the postseason that year.
Playoffs: Per FiveThirtyEight, the Bears have a 24% chance to make the postseason. Analytics and the eye test tell two different stories. ESPN's football power index is much less optimistic. It projects the Bears with a 15% chance at reaching the playoffs.