In this Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2019, photo, an alligator prowls the waters in the Big Cypress National Preserve in Florida. Formed roughly 5,000 years ago, ironically enough, during a time of sea-level rise, the glades once comprised an area twice the size of New Jersey. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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FLAMINGO, Florida (AP) - Grabbing a clump of vegetation to steady herself, Tiffany Troxler gingerly slides her feet along the makeshift boardwalk as she ventures out into the marsh. The boards sag, dipping her up to her knees in the tea-colored water.
'œThis is the treacherous part,'ť the Florida International University researcher says. 'œThe water levels are up.'ť
To a layman, this patch of brown-green saw grass and button mangrove deep inside Everglades National Park looks healthy enough, but Troxler knows trouble lurks just beneath the murky surface. She points to a clump of grass: Beneath the water line, the soil has retreated about a foot, leaving the pale root mass exposed. It is evidence that the thick mat of peat supporting this ecosystem is collapsing - and research suggests encroaching sea water is to blame.
"You can think about these soils as your bank account,'ť says Troxler, associate director of FIU's Sea Level Solutions Center. "In the condition that this marsh is right now, the outlook is not good."
Formed roughly 5,000 years ago, during a time of sea level rise, the Everglades once comprised an area twice the size of New Jersey. But over the course of just the last century, about half of the Everglades' original footprint has been lost - plowed under or paved over, never to be recovered, so long as South Florida's 8 million human inhabitants claim it for their homes, livelihoods and recreation.
The glades have been sapped by canals and dams that remapped the landscape and altered animal habitats, polluted by upstream agricultural areas, transformed by invasive species. And now, rising sea levels - this time, caused by man - threaten to undo what it took nature millennia to build.
What the Army Corps of Engineers calls a 'œhighly managed system,'ť others have sardonically labeled a 'œDisney Everglades.'ť
Nearly two decades and $4 billion into the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan, an ambitious federal-state program adopted in 2000, new data about the pace of climate change have called into question how much of the Everglades can ever be restored.
'œI tend to think that everything can be saved,'ť says Fred Sklar of the South Florida Water Management District, which monitors and runs much of the Everglades' infrastructure. 'œRestored is another question."
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Today, we understand that natural systems like the untouched Everglades provide enormous benefits - water filtration, nurseries for fish and other wildlife, protection from storm surges, even carbon sequestration. But to 19th-century Floridians, all that water - and the mosquitos and reptiles it harbored - represented an impediment to progress.
And so when Florida became a state in 1845, one of the Legislature's first acts was to pass a resolution asking Congress to survey the 'œwholly valueless'ť Everglades 'œwith a view to their reclamation."
Beginning in earnest during the 1880s, a host of entities set about draining the swamp. They dug canals carrying nutrient-laden water that altered the salinity of coastal estuaries and caused toxic algae blooms. They seeded the wetlands from the air with a thirsty, paper-barked Australian tree called melaleuca. The vast custard apple forest that girded the lake's southern shore was torched. And peat soils that had accumulated over thousands of years dried up and blew away, causing the ground to shrink 6 feet in some places.
And still, the tinkering continued.
It was an event in 1928 that, as much as any, altered the Everglades' course. That year, a hurricane overwhelmed a dike at Lake Okeechobee - the Everglades' 730-square-mile 'œliquid heart'ť - causing a deluge that killed 3,000 people. The resulting 143-mile, 30-foot-high Herbert Hoover Dike now nearly completely surrounds the lake, permanently severing its connection to the park.
Scientists estimate that more than 650 billion gallons of fresh water a year once flowed south into what is now the national park. Today, that flow is about 280 billion gallons.
Now, some of the same canals and levees and pumps that helped drain the Everglades are being used to try to save them. Alongside the Everglades Agricultural Area, the 700,000-acre checkerboard of sugar cane and winter vegetable fields south of Lake Okeechobee, huge tracts are being converted to store and clean water for use when and where it is needed.
Perhaps the biggest step toward that end so far is the re-engineering of Tamiami Trail, the east-west highway that essentially has acted as a dike through the heart of the Everglades since the 1920s. Since 2013, workers have elevated 3.3 miles of the roadway, allowing water to flow freely into Shark River Slough, historically the deepest and wettest part of the Everglades.
'œWe're starting to see the vegetation respond, and we're getting more of those marsh grasses, more of those open water sloughs,'ť says Stephen Davis, a senior ecologist with the Everglades Foundation. 'œI'm very confident that we can restore this ecosystem. And by restoration, I mean enhancing the functionality of what remains.'ť
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In 2015, the Corps submitted its most recent report to Congress, estimating the total cost of restoration at $16 billion - about twice the original projection. Three years later, panel of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine urged a sweeping reassessment of the projects in the pipeline, warning that the current work is lagging behind the pace of climate change and could take 65 years to complete at the current funding levels.
When the restoration plan was adopted in 2000, its authors were anticipating seas to rise only 6 inches by 2050. They've since already risen 5 inches.
Earlier this year, an interagency group that includes the Corps of Engineers and the National Park Service issued its latest Everglades status report, writing that 'œthe region's ecosystems are degraded and the anticipated ecological benefits of restoration are still to be realized."
Still, there are at least some hopeful signs.
Scientists poking through the bellies of wood storks, an 'œindicator species'ť for Everglades restoration, have found evidence that they are feasting on the non-native African jewelfish. And the endangered Everglades snail kite is showing a fondness for an exotic species of the mollusk, another latecomer to the region.
Perhaps the most encouraging development of all is the ongoing $578 million project to restore 40 square miles of the Kissimmee River Basin. Since the demolition of some of the dams, a portion of the river has found its old channel. The wetlands are returning, and so is the wildlife.
Whatever the final price tag, William Nuttle, a consultant with the University of Maryland's Center for Environmental Science who began his career in the marshlands of South Florida, notes that humans created this 'œhybrid ecosystem.'ť Thus, he says, it's up to humans to maintain it - for nature's sake, and for our own.
"We started in South Florida by declaring war on the ecosystem,'ť Nuttle says. 'œIt's not restoration that we're paying for; it's restitution."
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Federica Narancio in Washington contributed to this report.
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This Associated Press series was produced in partnership with the Howard Hughes Medical Institute's Department of Science Education. The AP is solely responsible for all content.
In this Friday, Oct. 18, 2019 photo, a green heron hunts for small fish in Everglades National Park, near Flamingo, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 18, 2019 photo, a Florida red-bellied turtle moves in to eat the flower of a lily pad in Everglades National Park, near Flamingo, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo, an endangered snail kite flies with an apple snail at Lake Kissimmee in Kenansville, Fla. Water level control and the resulting loss of wetlands has caused the population to drop to about 400 breeding pairs. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Sunday, Oct. 20, 2019 photo, visitors view the scenery and wildlife in the swamp at the Big Cypress National Preserve in Florida. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Sunday, Oct. 20, 2019 photo, a baby alligator rests atop an adult in a swamp at the Big Cypress National Preserve in Florida. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 21, 2019 photo a cypress tree is seen at dawn in Everglades National Park. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 21, 2019 photo, Tiffany Troxler, research scientist and professor at Florida International University walks on a boardwalk at a wetlands research site at Everglades National Park near Flamingo, Fla. She's studying wetlands ecosystem ands its relation to sea-level rise. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 21, 2019 photo, Tiffany Troxler, research scientist and professor at Florida International University walks on a boardwalk at a wetlands research site at Everglades National Park near Flamingo, Fla. She's studying wetlands ecosystem and its relation to sea-level rise. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019, photo, the Marsh Trail bisects a section of the Ten Thousand Islands National Wildlife Refuge in the western Everglades near Naples, Fla. Clusters of mangroves form islands in a shallow estuary. A healthy mangrove forest is important for protecting coasts during storms. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 21, 2019 photo, a barred owl rests at dawn in Everglades National Park near Flamingo, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2019 photo, tour guide Gianni Magrini pilots an airboat across a sawgrass marsh in Everglades National Park. Margrini, whose livelihood depends on tourism, has been guiding in the park for 25 years. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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This Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2019 photo shows a raised portion of the Tamiami Trail, west of Miami, Fla. The 2.6-mile bridge, along with another 1-mile span, has helped move more water into Everglades National Park. Prior to 2013, the Tamiami Trail effectively served as a dike, cutting off the natural flow of water into the park. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2019 photo, Lucas Lamb-Wooten, a PhD student at Florida International University, measures a blade of sawgrass during a research outing at Everglades National Park, near Flamingo, Fla. Lamb-Wooten is studying peat collapse in a coastal saw grass marshes. Research assistant Laura Bauman records data at left. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 25, 2019 photo, feral pigs roam near LaBelle, Fla. The state is second only to Texas in the number of non-native wild pigs living in the state. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2019, photo, Ian Bartoszek, right, and Ian Easterling carry a 14-foot, 95-pound, female Burmese python out of an upland habitat in Naples, Fla. A male python fitted with a radio transmitter implant led them to the female a couple yards from an upscale housing development. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2019, photo, a 14-foot, 95-pound, female Burmese python is held tightly by wildlife biologist Ian Bartoszek after he captured it in Naples, Fla. The snake was in the process of shedding a layer of skin, making handling the creature especially challenging. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019, photo, a housing development built in Everglades wetlands is seen from the air near Naples, Florida. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019, photo, a housing development built in Everglades wetlands is seen from the air near Naples, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2019 photo, the first rays of sunlight color clouds over Everglades National Park, near Flamingo, Fla. The park receives nearly 60 inches of rain annually. 'Here are no lofty peaks seeking the sky, no mighty glaciers or rushing streams wearing away the uplifted land,' President Harry S. Truman said in a Dec. 6, 1947, address dedicating the Everglades National Park. 'Here is land, tranquil in its quiet beauty, serving not as the source of water, but as the last receiver of it. To its natural abundance we owe the spectacular plant and animal life that distinguishes this place from all others in our country." (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 25, 2019 photo, a yellow faced budgie, rests in a tree at the Wild Turkey Preserve Strand near Fort Myers, Fla. The non-native bird is one several species now living in the wild after being released by pet owners. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo, rehabilitation work takes place on top of the Herbert Hoover Dike surrounding Lake Okeechobee, just a few feet from a home in Pahokee, Fla. Hurricane tides overtopped the original dike in 1926 and 1928, washed away houses and caused over 2,500 deaths. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo, a subsidence post marks more than 6 feet of peat soil loss since the post was driven into the ground in 1924 at the University of Florida Everglades Research Center, in Belle Glade, Fla. The amount of peat lost has had ongoing implications for restoration and habitat recovery for the Everglades. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 25, 2019, photo, sugar cane is harvested, attracting cattle egrets in search of insects, near South Bay, Fla. Much the original Everglades wetlands have been drained to create agricultural land, depriving the ecosystem of its natural water flow. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 25, 2019, photo, workers use heavy equipment to strengthen the 1930s-era Herbert Hoover Dike ringing Lake Okeechobee, at South Bay, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 25, 2019, photo, a sailboat starts down the St. Lucie Canal after leaving Lake Okeechobee, background, through the Port Mayaca, Fla., lock north of Belle Glade, Fla. The lock and dam was built in 1977 to raise the water level in the lake and provide flood control. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo a great egret takes flight at Lake Okeechobee in Clewiston, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo, a worker arrives to hoe a vegetable farm near Belle Glade, Fla. Much of the original everglades ecosystem has been drained to create farm land. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2019 photo, Austin Pezoldt carries gear through mucky water while assisting in a study of peat collapse in a coastal saw grass marsh at Everglades National Park, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2019 photo, an alligator prowls Everglades National Park in search of a meal. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Nov. 1, 2019 photo, the Sugar Cane Cooperative's mill processes sugar cane at dawn in Belle Glade, Fla. The mill operates 24-hours a day during the harvest season, grinding as much as 26,000 tons of sugarcane per day. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 28, 2019 photo, water is discharged from a flood control station along the Tamiami Trail in Miami, Fla., into a canal that drains into Everglades National Park. Heavy rains that often flood a conservation area north of the station trigger flushing of the canal, raising environmental worries about the quality of water flowing into the park. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 21, 2019 photo, the sun rises behind saw grass in a marsh at Everglades National Park near Flamingo, Fla. 'Here are no lofty peaks seeking the sky, no mighty glaciers or rushing streams wearing away the uplifted land,' President Harry S. Truman said in a Dec. 6, 1947, address dedicating the Everglades National Park. 'Here is land, tranquil in its quiet beauty, serving not as the source of water, but as the last receiver of it. To its natural abundance we owe the spectacular plant and animal life that distinguishes this place from all others in our country." (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Monday, Oct. 28 2019, photo, a farm is watered in Florida City, Fla, just east of the main entrance to Everglades National Park. Early settlers and developers dredged and drained much of the ecosystem for agriculture. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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In this Friday, Oct. 18, 2019 photo, a great egret is seen on top of a tree at dawn in Everglades National Park, near Flamingo, Fla. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
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