Western Conference finals preview
Our NBA expert, Mike McGraw, breaks down the Western Conference matchup and its best-of-seven series:
No. 1 San Antonio vs. No. 2 Oklahoma City
Game 1: AT&T Center, 7:30 p.m. Sunday (TNT)
History: The Thunder lost to Dallas in last year’s conference finals 4-1. The Spurs last reached this round in 2008.
Season series: San Antonio 2-1. In the most recent meeting on March 16, the Spurs won on the road 114-105. Russell Westbrook scored 36 points and Kevin Durant added 25, but all five San Antonio starters tallied between 15 and 25 points with Tim Duncan finishing with 16 points, 19 rebounds and 5 blocks.
Texas transformation: San Antonio’s Gregg Popovich won coach of the year largely because of the way he has helped change his team’s style of play. Believe it or not, the Spurs were the NBA’s second-highest scoring team during the regular season at 103.7 points per game. Two years ago, San Antonio ranked 15th in scoring. Four years ago, the Spurs ranked 28th at 95.4 ppg.
Thunder strikers: Oklahoma City’s Big Three of Durant (28.0 ppg), Westbrook (23.6) and SG James Harden (16.8) combined for more points during the regular season than Miami’s Power Trio. Serge Ibaka is averaging 9.8 points in the playoffs, but then the Thunder’s scoring drops off quickly. … As one might suspect when watching the three stars take turns going one-on-one, the Thunder ranked last during the regular season in assists per game at 18.6.
More passes for Parker: Spurs guard Tony Parker, whose two younger brothers attended Lisle High School, turned 30 this month. He started to pick up his scoring a few years ago, but this season set a career-high with 7.7 assists. During the playoffs, he’s averaged a team-high 19.1 points per game.
Bench support: One of the keys to San Antonio’s success is the lightly regarded trio of Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard and Gary Neal, who have combined to average 27 points and shoot 47.8 percent from 3-point range in the playoffs. The Spurs are also getting contributions from late-season pickups Boris Diaw and Stephen Jackson. … Oklahoma City’s supporting cast has been less reliable, although veteran guard Derek Fisher has hit 8 of 15 shots from 3-point range in the postseason.
Steady shooters: The Spurs have connected on 42.3 percent of their shots from 3-point range in the playoffs with heavy volume, an average of 21 attempts per game. … The Thunder led the league in free-throw percentage (.800) during the regular season and is even better (.840) in the playoffs.
Winning ways: San Antonio is working on an 18-game winning streak. It won the last 10 in the regular season, then swept Utah and the Clippers in the first two rounds. The Spurs have gone 29-2 since March 21.
Prediction: Spurs in 7
—Mike McGraw