Weekly U.S. jobless aid applications fall to 369,000
WASHINGTON — Weekly applications for U.S. unemployment aid fell last week to a seasonally adjusted 369,000, a level consistent with modest hiring.
The Labor Department said Thursday that unemployment benefit applications dropped by 23,000, from a revised 392,000 the previous week. The four-week average, a less volatile measure, rose to 368,000.
The figures appear to have stabilized after being distorted in the previous two weeks by seasonal adjustment problems.
Applications are a proxy for layoffs. When they fall below 375,000, it suggests hiring is strong enough to lower the unemployment rate.
Applications have fluctuated between 360,000 and 390,000 since January. At the same time, employers have added an average of nearly 150,000 jobs a month. That’s barely enough to lower the unemployment rate, which has declined from 8.3 percent to 7.8 percent this year.
Employers are hesitant to add more workers as long as growth remains tepid and Europe’s financial crisis threatens to push that region into recession. Many also are holding off because they are worry about tax increases and government spending cuts that would kick in next year if Congress doesn’t reach a budget deal to avert them.
The weak job market has been a key topic in this year’s presidential election, which is down to its final days. Voters will have one final employment report to consider, which comes out four days before Election Day.
There have been some signs that the economy is improving.
The unemployment rate fell in September to 7.8 percent. That’s the lowest level since January 2009 — President Barack Obama’s first month in office. The rate fell because a government survey of households found a huge increase in the number of people who had jobs. Still, a jump in part-time employment accounted for most of the gain.
Retail sales grew in September at a healthy clip. And home sales and residential construction have shown steady improvement this year, helped by stable gains in home prices and the lowest mortgage rates in decades.
Still, the economy is not growing fast enough to generate much hiring. Growth slowed to a tepid annual rate of 1.3 percent in the April-June quarter, down from 2 percent in the previous quarter. Most economists see growth staying at or below 2 percent in the second half of the year. The Commerce Department will issue its first estimate of growth in the July-September quarter on Friday.